FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News, Nate Silver

About this podcast

The GOP Field Gets Crowded

new

yesterday 59 minutes

There's A Debt Ceiling Agreement ... For Now

Tuesday, May 30, 2023 1 heure

The Case For And Against Ron DeSantis

Thursday, May 25, 2023 41 minutes

Can Tim Scott's Optimism Win Over The GOP?

Monday, May 22, 2023 59 minutes

Is The Eurovision Song Contest Rigged?

Thursday, May 18, 2023 56 minutes

Why So Many Americans Trust The Weather Channel

Monday, May 15, 2023 59 minutes

How Immigration Shapes American Politics

Thursday, May 11, 2023 33 minutes

Does It Matter If King Charles Is Popular?

Monday, May 8, 2023 49 minutes

How Climate Change Will Reshape Where Americans Live

Thursday, May 4, 2023 42 minutes

Where Biden Stands Heading Into 2024

Monday, May 1, 2023 1 heure

Are America's Favorite Governors Really All Republicans?

Monday, April 24, 2023 46 minutes

Live From New York: It's The FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast!

Friday, April 21, 2023 1 heure

The Next Supreme Court Clash Over Abortion

Monday, April 17, 2023 56 minutes

Americans Are Feeling Better These Days

Thursday, April 13, 2023 37 minutes

The Politics Of AI

Monday, April 10, 2023 1 heure

The Takeaways From 2023's Super Tuesday

Wednesday, April 5, 2023 43 minutes

Why Tuesday Is The Highest Stakes Election Day Of 2023

Monday, April 3, 2023 50 minutes

Emergency Podcast: Trump Is Indicted

Friday, March 31, 2023 21 minutes

New Laws Are Driving Red And Blue States Further Apart

Thursday, March 30, 2023 49 minutes

Good Or Bad Use Of Polling (Taylor's Version)

Monday, March 27, 2023 46 minutes

Will Voters Care If Trump Gets Indicted?

Thursday, March 23, 2023 52 minutes

The 2000s Called, They Want Their Politics Back

Monday, March 20, 2023 45 minutes

The Hidden Stories In The U.S. Census

Thursday, March 16, 2023 55 minutes

Polls Haven't Been This Accurate Since At Least 1998

Monday, March 13, 2023 1 heure

Few Americans Think AI Will Do More Good Than Harm

Thursday, March 9, 2023 50 minutes

The Poll That Ended Dilbert

Monday, March 6, 2023 1 heure

Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless'

Thursday, March 2, 2023 44 minutes

How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear

Monday, February 27, 2023 1 heure

What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection

Tuesday, February 21, 2023 57 minutes

Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination?

Thursday, February 16, 2023 42 minutes

American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted

Monday, February 13, 2023 57 minutes

Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech

Wednesday, February 8, 2023 48 minutes

How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

Monday, February 6, 2023 1 heure

The Politics Of Loneliness

Thursday, February 2, 2023 51 minutes

There Are Some Big Elections Happening In 2023

Tuesday, January 31, 2023 1 heure

Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. That's Changing.

Thursday, January 26, 2023 40 minutes

What The Debt Ceiling And George Santos's Career Have In Common

Monday, January 23, 2023 1 heure

California's Senate Primary Is Going To Be A Doozy

Tuesday, January 17, 2023 54 minutes

There Has To Be A Better Way To Pick Presidential Nominees ... Right?

Thursday, January 12, 2023 34 minutes

What The Speakership Vote Tells Us About The GOP

Monday, January 9, 2023 58 minutes

How The Primary System Has Shaped Our Politics

Monday, January 2, 2023 47 minutes

Our Presidential Primary System Is An Accident

Monday, December 26, 2022 35 minutes

The Politics Of Prosecuting Trump

Thursday, December 22, 2022 49 minutes

What I Learned From The 2022 Midterms

Monday, December 19, 2022 40 minutes

Is There A Political Realignment Among Latino Voters?

Thursday, December 15, 2022 57 minutes

We Answer Your Lingering Questions About 2022

Monday, December 12, 2022 1 heure

How Democrats Won The Georgia Runoff

Wednesday, December 7, 2022 39 minutes

Warnock Has The Edge In A Close Race

Monday, December 5, 2022 56 minutes

Is Democracy All Good Now?

Thursday, December 1, 2022 33 minutes

If Biden Doesn't Run In 2024, Who Will?

Monday, November 28, 2022 1 heure

How The '90s Shaped Today's GOP

Monday, November 21, 2022 56 minutes

Emergency Podcast: Will Trump Win The GOP Nomination?

Wednesday, November 16, 2022 33 minutes

Why Democrats Beat Historical Trends In 2022

Monday, November 14, 2022 1 heure

When We Could Know The Results In The House And Senate

Thursday, November 10, 2022 54 minutes

The Red Wave Didn't Happen

Wednesday, November 9, 2022 17 minutes

The Final Pre-Midterm Model Talk

Monday, November 7, 2022 49 minutes

The Issues Worth $9 Billion In Ad Spending

Friday, November 4, 2022 51 minutes

How Do All These Republican Polls Affect The Model?

Wednesday, November 2, 2022 56 minutes

The Pennsylvania Senate Race Is On A Knife’s Edge

Monday, October 31, 2022 55 minutes

Live From D.C. … This Is Model Talk

Thursday, October 27, 2022 1 heure

How A College Education Divides American Voters

Monday, October 24, 2022 1 heure

Don’t Obsess Over The Crosstabs!

Thursday, October 20, 2022 52 minutes

The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022

Monday, October 17, 2022 59 minutes

Is Oregon Going To Elect A Republican Governor?

Thursday, October 13, 2022 51 minutes

From Gas Prices To The Threat Of Nuclear Conflict … What Is Shaping The Midterms?

Monday, October 10, 2022 1 heure

Do Scandals Like Herschel Walker's Still Matter To Voters?

Thursday, October 6, 2022 40 minutes

What Would Two More Senators Do For Democrats?

Monday, October 3, 2022 59 minutes

There’s A 6-In-10 Chance One Party Will Control Both Chambers Of Congress

Thursday, September 29, 2022 56 minutes

Why Biden's Unpopularity Doesn't Seem To Be Tanking Democrats

Monday, September 26, 2022 58 minutes

Is Social Media Turning Us Into Political Extremists?

Thursday, September 22, 2022 59 minutes

Which Party Are Latino Voters Choosing In 2022?

Monday, September 19, 2022 1 heure

It's Not Yet Time To Start Worrying About The Polls

Thursday, September 15, 2022 55 minutes

Does The Monarchy Rely On Public Approval?

Monday, September 12, 2022 1 heure

What To Expect Between Now And Election Day

Tuesday, September 6, 2022 1 heure

Why Sarah Palin Lost

Thursday, September 1, 2022 43 minutes

Why Sarah Palin Lost

Thursday, September 1, 2022 43 minutes

Is Student Debt Relief Good Politics?

Monday, August 29, 2022 1 heure

If The Midterms Were Tomorrow, Republicans Might Be In Trouble

Wednesday, August 24, 2022 46 minutes

The Trump Investigations And What Americans Think About Them

Monday, August 22, 2022 1 heure

What Liz Cheney Might Do Next

Wednesday, August 17, 2022 43 minutes

Are Democrats Really Going To Win In Ohio And Wisconsin?

Monday, August 15, 2022 52 minutes

Republican Outsiders Have Made Their Mark This Cycle

Wednesday, August 10, 2022 44 minutes

Could The 'Inflation Reduction Act' Save Biden's Approval Rating?

Monday, August 8, 2022 59 minutes

Why Kansas Voted To Keep Its Right To Abortion

Wednesday, August 3, 2022 50 minutes

All The Political News You Missed Last Week

Monday, August 1, 2022 1 heure

The Polls And Pundits Disagree (Again)

Monday, July 25, 2022 1 heure

Americans Aren’t Happy With Biden. Or Republicans.

Tuesday, July 19, 2022 1 heure

Will Democrats Continue To Win In Georgia In 2022?

Thursday, July 14, 2022 53 minutes

The Supreme Court Episode

Monday, July 11, 2022 1 heure

Does DeSantis's Strength Spell Trouble For Trump?

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 56 minutes

The 2022 Forecast Is Live And ‘Model Talk’ Returns!

Thursday, June 30, 2022 40 minutes

What The Politics Of Abortion Look Like Now

Tuesday, June 28, 2022 1 heure

Emergency Podcast: Supreme Court Overturns Roe v. Wade

Friday, June 24, 2022 32 minutes

Are 1 Percent Of Americans Evil?

Tuesday, June 21, 2022 1 heure

More Trouble For Democrats In The Rio Grande Valley

Wednesday, June 15, 2022 33 minutes

Are Centrists The Most Powerful Politicians?

Monday, June 13, 2022 1 heure

Were The California Primaries A Blow To The Progressive Movement?

Wednesday, June 8, 2022 41 minutes

The Democratic Divides In California

Monday, June 6, 2022 53 minutes

Are Democrats Actually In Disarray?

Tuesday, May 31, 2022 1 heure

Are Democrats Actually In Disarray?

Tuesday, May 31, 2022 1 heure

Trump's Revenge Primary In Georgia Fails

Wednesday, May 25, 2022 40 minutes

Are Trump's Endorsees About To Lose In Georgia?

Monday, May 23, 2022 1 heure

What Tuesday's Primaries Could Mean For November

Wednesday, May 18, 2022 38 minutes

Who Will Win The GOP's Senate Primary In Pennsylvania?

Tuesday, May 17, 2022 55 minutes

The Politics Of Anti-Critical Race Theory Laws

Thursday, May 12, 2022 41 minutes

How The Fight Over Abortion Will Play Out In Red States

Tuesday, May 10, 2022 56 minutes

The Ohio Primary And Draft SCOTUS Opinion

Wednesday, May 4, 2022 33 minutes

Our First 2024 Democratic Primary Draft

Tuesday, May 3, 2022 1 heure

How A Struggle Between Elites And Populists Has Shaped The Right

Thursday, April 28, 2022 39 minutes

Our First 2024 GOP Primary Draft

Monday, April 25, 2022 1 heure

Why A Once-Fringe Candidate Is Now A Serious Contender For The French Presidency

Thursday, April 21, 2022 45 minutes

How Old Is Too Old For Elected Office?

Monday, April 18, 2022 58 minutes

Why Inflation Is Sparking Economic Pessimism

Thursday, April 14, 2022 37 minutes

Why Alaskans Aren’t In A Rush To Send Sarah Palin To Washington

Monday, April 11, 2022 57 minutes

Americans Think The War On Drugs Failed. Do Politicians Agree?

Thursday, April 7, 2022 31 minutes

Are Both Liz Cheney And Madison Cawthorn In Primary Trouble?

Monday, April 4, 2022 58 minutes

How Education Became Today's Wedge Issue

Thursday, March 31, 2022 36 minutes

Should The Iowa Caucuses Go Away?

Monday, March 28, 2022 56 minutes

The Partisan Grandstanding At Ketanji Brown Jackson’s Hearings

Thursday, March 24, 2022 38 minutes

The Most Consequential Governor’s Races

Monday, March 21, 2022 1 heure

What Is Ron DeSantis's Vision For The GOP?

Thursday, March 17, 2022 35 minutes

The Political Price Of Gas

Monday, March 14, 2022 49 minutes

How To Think About The Risk Of Nuclear War

Thursday, March 10, 2022 41 minutes

Is Putin Actually Popular In Russia?

Monday, March 7, 2022 48 minutes

Unity From Biden, Disunity In Texas

Wednesday, March 2, 2022 37 minutes

Americans Are Unified Against Russia's Invasion Of Ukraine

Monday, February 28, 2022 1 heure

What Do Pollsters Know About Happiness?

Tuesday, February 22, 2022 1 heure

Is Boris Johnson Finished?

Thursday, February 17, 2022 52 minutes

Valentine's Day, Inflation and GOP Infighting

Monday, February 14, 2022 55 minutes

Americans Aren’t As Polarized As The News Makes It Seem

Thursday, February 10, 2022 36 minutes

Americans Say They're Over COVID-19. What Does That Mean?

Monday, February 7, 2022 1 heure

Why The GOP Has Made Gains With Latino Voters

Thursday, February 3, 2022 42 minutes

The 7 Most Important Senate Races, Ranked

Monday, January 31, 2022 58 minutes

Emergency Podcast: Justice Breyer Is Retiring

Wednesday, January 26, 2022 27 minutes

Why Politicians — Like Manchin And Sinema — Go Rogue

Monday, January 24, 2022 59 minutes

Don't Pay Attention To That Outlier Poll You Saw

Tuesday, January 18, 2022 49 minutes

How Likely Is Another Civil War?

Thursday, January 13, 2022 40 minutes

How The 2022 Midterms Might Play Out

Monday, January 10, 2022 52 minutes

Why Jan. 6th Was Not A Turning Point

Wednesday, January 5, 2022 54 minutes

What Americans Thought About COVID, Inflation And Britney Spears In 2021

Monday, December 27, 2021 58 minutes

Why Manchin Is A 'No' On Build Back Better

Tuesday, December 21, 2021 1 heure

How Much Have Hispanic Voters Shifted Toward The GOP?

Monday, December 13, 2021 49 minutes

Is The Media Tougher On Biden Than Trump?

Thursday, December 9, 2021 46 minutes

Why Stacey Abrams And Beto O’Rourke Are Going For It In 2022

Monday, December 6, 2021 57 minutes

What SCOTUS — And Americans — Think About Overturning Roe

Thursday, December 2, 2021 41 minutes

About Those 2024 Polls ...

Monday, November 29, 2021 48 minutes

What The Two Parties Should Be Thankful For

Monday, November 22, 2021 54 minutes

What 44 Days In Las Vegas Taught Nate Silver

Thursday, November 18, 2021 47 minutes

The Pollster Who Wants To Quit Horse-Race Polling

Monday, November 15, 2021 1 heure

This Is What Will Determine The Future Of Climate Change

Friday, November 12, 2021 46 minutes